tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2422548842770565667.post192895687357915246..comments2021-10-09T07:19:30.518-06:00Comments on where is haley?: Explaining the US elections...Haleyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13158801392092195492noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2422548842770565667.post-36056416937949051372008-04-25T08:15:00.000-06:002008-04-25T08:15:00.000-06:00Good summary Kent.Good summary Kent.lukehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13403216952694182540noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2422548842770565667.post-45910917445834486532008-04-23T22:33:00.000-06:002008-04-23T22:33:00.000-06:00Polls show Hillary gets support from a majority of...Polls show Hillary gets support from a majority of women, Hispanics and white middle class laborers. Obama receives votes from a majority of folks with higher incomes, those under 30 and a huge majority (90%) of the African American vote. In other words, the traditional Democrat base is pretty evenly split. Conventional wisdom is that if Hillary doesn't win Indiana in 2 weeks, it's probably over for her. Otherwise, there will be a lot of pressure for the remaining undeclared "super delegates" (party insiders and elected officials who are free to vote for anyone) to declare by the end of June so that the nominee is known before the end of the summer. Even now, Hillary's only real hope is to hang on and convince the super delegates that she is more electable than Obama, since there is little chance that she can overcome Obama's lead in elected delegates, (the Democrats don't have winner take all primaries, so even when she wins a state, she only picks up a handful of delegates more than Obama). No one in the U.S. can figure out why and how the Democrats figured out this system, so I can't imagine how anyone over there could understand it.Kenthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08587318464470472472noreply@blogger.com